US Boulogne vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
USB
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
USB
1 - 0
BOU
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
USB
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
USB
1 - 1
AMI
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 2
USB
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
RED
3 - 0
CHE
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
ORL
2 - 1
RED
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
RED
1 - 0
CAB
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 0
RED
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
RED
1 - 0
FCR
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |