Avellino vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
AVE
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 1
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
AVE
3 - 0
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEO
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 2
LIV
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
FCS
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 1
LEO
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
SAV
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |