Avellino vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 1
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
AVE
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
AVE
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 0
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
LAT
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UDI
3 - 1
NOV
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
5 - 0
LAQ
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |