Avellino vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
TOR
1 - 0
AVE
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 0
ATL
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
PES
0 - 2
AVE
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 1
PIA
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 0
AVE
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CRO
4 - 2
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
RIM
1 - 0
CRO
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 1
TER
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 1
VER
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
PES
1 - 2
CRO
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |