US Alessandria vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 2
USA
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
USA
3 - 1
ACL
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAV
0 - 1
USA
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
USA
1 - 0
GER
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
USA
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
USC
0 - 0
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BV5
0 - 0
USC
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FCS
3 - 1
USC
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
USC
0 - 1
NOV
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
REN
2 - 2
USC
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |