US Alessandria vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
USA
0 - 0
ABN
49%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
USA
2 - 2
SAM
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
USA
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
USA
3 - 2
SIE
35%
26%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ROM
4 - 2
SSS
92%
7%
2%
|
46 | 86 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 0
SSS
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SSS
1 - 2
RAV
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SSS
0 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |