US Alessandria vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
USA
36%
28%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
USA
0 - 0
LEC
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
OLB
1 - 2
USA
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
USA
2 - 0
PIS
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
USA
0 - 2
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GER
0 - 1
ABN
33%
27%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GER
2 - 2
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JS2
3 - 2
GER
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
LEC
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 1
GER
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |