US Alessandria vs AC Carpenedolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
OLB
0 - 3
USA
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
USA
1 - 1
ACM
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 1
USA
20%
25%
54%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
USA
0 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
USI
0 - 1
USA
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpenedolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FSD
0 - 1
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ACR
2 - 1
FSD
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FSD
0 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ITA
0 - 0
FSD
23%
26%
51%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FSD
1 - 2
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |