Uruguay Montevideo vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 0
UMO
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
UMO
2 - 1
PDR
87%
9%
3%
|
66 | 8 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
UMO
0 - 4
JUN
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
1 - 0
UMO
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
UMO
1 - 1
RAC
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
PRO
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUV
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CSY
0 - 0
PRO
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
CSM
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |