Ursus Warszawa vs Pelikan Lowicz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 0
UWA
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UWA
1 - 1
LTM
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
POL
3 - 1
UWA
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
UWA
1 - 0
WSI
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
UWA
30%
28%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pelikan Lowicz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PSI
1 - 5
PEL
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 0
PGM
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 5
PEL
27%
24%
48%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 0
PEL
22%
26%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |