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Tercera Division. G4, Matchday 22

SD Urola vs CD Elgoibar analysis

SD Urola CD Elgoibar
22 ELO 23
31% Tilt -13%
10721º General ELO ranking 9157º
1054º Country ELO ranking 684º
ELO win probability
59.8%
SD Urola
22.7%
Draw
17.5%
CD Elgoibar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
SD Urola
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.5%
Win probability
CD Elgoibar
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SD Urola
+1%
+13%
CD Elgoibar

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Aurrera Vitoria
55
55
100%
SCD Durango
54
54
100%
CD Hernani
49
49
100%
Zalla
46
46
100%
Balmaseda FC
44
44
100%
CD Getxo
42
42
50%
CD Basconia
42
42
50%
CD Elgoibar
41
41
100%
SD Urola
38
38
50%
SD Zamudio
10º
38
38
10º
50%
SD Amorebieta
11º
37
37
11º
33%
Mondragón
12º
37
37
13º
33%
Santurtzi
13º
37
37
12º
33%
Aurrera Ondarroa
14º
34
34
14º
50%
Aloña Mendi
15º
34
34
15º
50%
Alavés B
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Cd Touring
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Tolosa CF
18º
27
27
18º
100%
Arenas de Getxo
19º
26
26
19º
100%
CD Mungia
20º
17
17
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
SD Urola
CD Elgoibar
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

CD Elgoibar
ELG
SD Urola
URO
Arenas de Getxo
ARE
Cd Touring
CDT
Balmaseda FC
BFC
CD Mungia
CDM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SD Urola
SD Urola
1%
X%
2%
ELO URO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 1995
CDT
Cd Touring
2 - 2
SD Urola
URO
45%
27%
29%
283 178 -105 0
22 Jan. 1995
URO
SD Urola
2 - 1
CD Mungia
CDM
46%
27%
27%
281 308 -27 +2
15 Jan. 1995
ALA
Alavés B
2 - 0
SD Urola
URO
45%
27%
28%
284 297 13 -2
08 Jan. 1995
URO
SD Urola
3 - 1
CD Aurrera Vitoria
AUR
46%
27%
28%
281 340 -59 +2
01 Jan. 1995
MON
Mondragón
4 - 1
SD Urola
URO
45%
27%
28%
284 301 17 -3

Matches

CD Elgoibar
CD Elgoibar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 1995
ELG
CD Elgoibar
3 - 0
Alavés B
ALA
46%
27%
27%
291 300 -9 +3
22 Jan. 1995
AUR
CD Aurrera Vitoria
1 - 0
CD Elgoibar
ELG
46%
27%
26%
293 340 47 -1
15 Jan. 1995
MON
Mondragón
1 - 0
CD Elgoibar
ELG
45%
27%
28%
294 301 7 -2
08 Jan. 1995
ELG
CD Elgoibar
0 - 2
SCD Durango
CDU
42%
27%
31%
297 464 -167 -2
01 Jan. 1995
SDA
SD Amorebieta
1 - 2
CD Elgoibar
ELG
47%
27%
26%
295 370 75 +2