Urk vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
URK
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
STE
3 - 1
URK
51%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
URK
4 - 3
HOE
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 4
URK
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
URK
2 - 3
GVV
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VOL
0 - 1
KAT
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 1
KAT
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KAT
0 - 1
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KOZ
3 - 1
KAT
28%
24%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KAT
3 - 1
SPA
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |