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Eerste Klasse Zat.. Matchday 12

Urk vs Holwierde analysis

Urk Holwierde
14 ELO 8
105% Tilt 38%
5628º General ELO ranking 12841º
115º Country ELO ranking 376º
ELO win probability
68.2%
Urk
16.1%
Draw
15.7%
Holwierde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
Urk
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
15.7%
Win probability
Holwierde
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Urk
+98%
+21%
Holwierde

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
ACV
60
60
100%
Urk
58
58
100%
Knickerbockers
40
40
50%
Noordscheschut
40
40
50%
CVVB
36
36
100%
Drachtster Boys
30
30
100%
Holwierde
26
26
50%
HZVV
26
26
50%
CVV Viboa
25
25
100%
Blauw Wit .34
10º
21
21
10º
100%
Emms Boys
11º
11
11
11º
100%
BCV
12º
6
6
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Urk
Holwierde
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Urk
URK
Holwierde
HOL
HZVV
HZV
Emms Boys
EMB
ACV
ACV
Knickerbockers
KNI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Urk
Urk
1%
X%
2%
ELO URK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2008
URK
Urk
2 - 1
Drachtster Boys
DRA
45%
27%
28%
205 194 11 +1
15 Nov. 2008
BCV
BCV
0 - 3
Urk
URK
42%
28%
31%
204 126 -78 +1
08 Nov. 2008
URK
Urk
3 - 0
Noordscheschut
NOO
46%
27%
26%
203 133 70 +1
01 Nov. 2008
ACV
ACV
0 - 0
Urk
URK
45%
27%
28%
203 171 -32 0
25 Oct. 2008
URK
Urk
3 - 2
CVVB
CVV
46%
27%
26%
203 132 71 +1

Matches

Holwierde
Holwierde
1%
X%
2%
ELO HOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2008
KNI
Knickerbockers
1 - 3
Holwierde
HOL
45%
27%
28%
130 138 8 +1
15 Nov. 2008
HOL
Holwierde
3 - 1
Emms Boys
EMB
46%
27%
27%
129 125 4 +1
08 Nov. 2008
HOL
Holwierde
3 - 1
Drachtster Boys
DRA
42%
28%
31%
128 196 -68 +1
01 Nov. 2008
BCV
BCV
0 - 1
Holwierde
HOL
46%
27%
27%
127 128 1 +1
25 Oct. 2008
HOL
Holwierde
0 - 1
Noordscheschut
NOO
46%
27%
27%
128 133 -5 -1