Urk vs Holwierde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
15.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
+21%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
URK
HOL
HZV
EMB
ACV
KNI
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO URK | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
URK
2 - 1
DRA
45%
27%
28%
|
205 | 194 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BCV
0 - 3
URK
42%
28%
31%
|
204 | 126 | -78 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
URK
3 - 0
NOO
46%
27%
26%
|
203 | 133 | 70 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ACV
0 - 0
URK
45%
27%
28%
|
203 | 171 | -32 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
URK
3 - 2
CVV
46%
27%
26%
|
203 | 132 | 71 | +1 |
Matches
Holwierde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO HOL | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
KNI
1 - 3
HOL
45%
27%
28%
|
130 | 138 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HOL
3 - 1
EMB
46%
27%
27%
|
129 | 125 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HOL
3 - 1
DRA
42%
28%
31%
|
128 | 196 | -68 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BCV
0 - 1
HOL
46%
27%
27%
|
127 | 128 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
HOL
0 - 1
NOO
46%
27%
27%
|
128 | 133 | -5 | -1 |