Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DVS
5 - 1
URK
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 36 | -6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
URK
0 - 3
STA
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 45 | -3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ACV
3 - 3
URK
44%
27%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
URK
3 - 1
NUN
44%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BER
1 - 2
URK
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
DETO Twenterand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DET
1 - 0
ACV
41%
28%
31%
|
38 | 43 | -5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ONS
3 - 1
DET
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BER
2 - 3
DET
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DET
1 - 1
DRA
46%
27%
28%
|
38 | 41 | -3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FLE
0 - 0
DET
46%
27%
26%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |