Ureña vs Real Frontera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
14º
14º
9
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 14 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
63.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 1
URE
29%
23%
48%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
URE
3 - 0
BSC
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
URE
1 - 1
BSC
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 0
URE
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
URE
2 - 1
AIF
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Frontera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FRO
0 - 2
URE
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TRU
2 - 1
FRO
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FLD
3 - 4
FRO
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FRO
1 - 3
ATL
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
TIT
1 - 2
FRO
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |