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Segunda División Venezuela. 1ª Fase, Matchday 14

Ureña vs Héroes de Falcón analysis

Ureña Héroes de Falcón
33 ELO 26
7% Tilt -51%
4495º General ELO ranking 6003º
15º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Ureña
24.4%
Draw
10.8%
Héroes de Falcón

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
Ureña
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
20.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
24.4%
10.8%
Win probability
Héroes de Falcón
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ureña
-38%
+8%
Héroes de Falcón

Points and table prediction

Ureña
Their league position
Héroes de Falcón
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
0
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atlético La Cruz
34
34
50%
Yaracuyanos
34
34
50%
Academia Anzoátegui
30
30
100%
Angostura
27
27
100%
Deportivo Petare
25
25
50%
Bolivar SC
25
25
50%
Fundación AIFI
22
22
100%
Nueva Esparta FC
21
21
100%
Libertador
15
15
100%
Dynamo Puerto La Cruz
10º
10
10
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ureña
Héroes de Falcón

ELO progression

Ureña
URE
Héroes de Falcón
HFF
Titanes FC
TIT
Academia Rey
FLD
Real Frontera FC
FRO
Rayo Zuliano
DRZ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ureña
Ureña
1%
X%
2%
ELO URE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jul. 2022
ULA
ULA Mérida
0 - 1
Ureña
URE
41%
28%
31%
431 288 -143 +1
18 Jun. 2022
URE
Ureña
0 - 0
Atlético El Vigía FC
ATL
49%
26%
25%
431 314 117 0
12 Jun. 2022
FLD
Academia Rey
0 - 1
Ureña
URE
41%
28%
31%
430 349 -81 +2
29 May. 2022
URE
Ureña
1 - 3
Academia Rey
FLD
48%
27%
26%
432 347 85 -3
22 May. 2022
ATL
Atlético El Vigía FC
5 - 1
Ureña
URE
41%
28%
31%
436 310 -126 -3

Matches

Héroes de Falcón
Héroes de Falcón
1%
X%
2%
ELO HFF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2022
TRU
Trujillanos
2 - 0
Héroes de Falcón
HFF
50%
26%
24%
333 543 210 -2
19 Jun. 2022
HFF
Héroes de Falcón
6 - 0
Llaneros de Guanare
LLA
46%
27%
28%
329 374 -45 +4
12 Jun. 2022
ULA
ULA Mérida
1 - 1
Héroes de Falcón
HFF
46%
27%
28%
329 290 -39 0
29 May. 2022
HFF
Héroes de Falcón
2 - 1
ULA Mérida
ULA
47%
27%
26%
327 291 36 +2
22 May. 2022
LLA
Llaneros de Guanare
0 - 0
Héroes de Falcón
HFF
46%
27%
26%
327 378 51 0