Venezuelan Cup . 1/16
Global 2-2
Ureña vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
URE
1 - 1
ULA
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
TIT
1 - 3
URE
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 2
URE
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 1
URE
22%
22%
57%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
URE
2 - 0
FRO
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
TAC
2 - 0
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
TAC
0 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
TAC
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
TAC
2 - 2
DEP
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 2
TAC
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -2 |