Urania Genève Sport vs Italien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
11º
7º
20
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urania Genève Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FOO
0 - 3
UGS
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
UGS
1 - 3
PLO
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 1
UGS
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UGS
0 - 3
YVE
48%
22%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ODG
5 - 0
UGS
50%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
COL
59%
18%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SBC
6 - 1
ITA
37%
22%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 2
PFO
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 2
PLO
89%
8%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOO
2 - 7
ITA
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |