Upington City FC vs Milford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+427%
+208%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
15º
6º
34
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 39.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upington City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CST
1 - 1
UCF
76%
16%
7%
|
14 | 60 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
UCF
2 - 1
PRE
12%
21%
67%
|
13 | 58 | 45 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UCF
2 - 0
MAG
11%
20%
69%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
UCF
73%
19%
9%
|
10 | 66 | 56 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UCF
1 - 1
PCF
12%
21%
67%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | +1 |
Matches
Milford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 3
JDR
16%
24%
60%
|
13 | 61 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
MIL
74%
18%
8%
|
13 | 60 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 1
MIL
77%
16%
7%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 0
VFA
10%
19%
72%
|
11 | 55 | 44 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CST
0 - 2
MIL
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | +2 |