UP Langreo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
0 - 1
UPL
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UPL
3 - 4
AST
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TUI
0 - 3
UPL
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
UPL
1 - 2
RIB
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
COV
1 - 1
UPL
22%
24%
55%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AVI
2 - 2
LEA
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
AVI
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
AVI
3 - 3
MOS
57%
24%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
AVI
39%
27%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
AVI
0 - 0
LLA
31%
28%
42%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |