Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
UP Langreo vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
UPL
28%
26%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
COV
0 - 3
UPL
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
UPL
5 - 0
TIN
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 1
UPL
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UPL
2 - 0
COL
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
UPL
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 1
ALC
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
LEB
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 0
ALC
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -3 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |