Universitario Deportes vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAC
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
4 - 0
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
MEL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
UTC
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AYA
1 - 3
UNI
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
COM
0 - 3
SPC
29%
29%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
AYA
50%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |