UP de Manica vs Sporting Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP de Manica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
MAX
1 - 1
UPM
48%
28%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UPM
2 - 0
QUE
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 0
UPM
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UPM
0 - 2
FER
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TEX
0 - 3
UPM
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
SCN
1 - 1
DES
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
IDX
2 - 0
SCN
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCC
6 - 0
SCN
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
FER
6 - 0
SCN
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SCN
4 - 2
MAX
33%
31%
37%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +3 |