Leones Negros vs Tlaxcala FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
TEM
3 - 2
UDG
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
UDG
3 - 1
UAT
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
DOR
3 - 2
UDG
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MER
2 - 1
UDG
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
UDG
0 - 0
MOR
21%
24%
56%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tlaxcala FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MOR
3 - 0
TIA
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
TIA
0 - 2
MOR
11%
20%
70%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 2
TIA
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
3 - 0
TIA
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
SPT
0 - 1
TIA
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |