Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 1
CIM
32%
27%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
2 - 1
UDG
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
UDG
0 - 3
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UAT
0 - 2
UDG
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 1
MER
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
TEM
1 - 0
UAT
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
5 - 0
TEM
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
TEM
1 - 2
SPT
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
TEM
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 0
CDT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |