Leones Negros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
UDG
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UDG
3 - 1
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ZAC
1 - 0
UDG
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
UDG
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
UDG
0 - 1
TEM
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
ALE
4 - 1
TAM
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
DOR
1 - 1
ALE
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
ALE
58%
25%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 0
CFC
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALE
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |