Leones Negros vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 1
UDG
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
UDG
3 - 0
CDT
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
UDG
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 1
ALE
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
UAT
2 - 2
UDG
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
ALE
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
MOR
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
CIM
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
UAT
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 3
MOR
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |