Leones Negros vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
UDG
0 - 1
CFC
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
CIM
2 - 0
UDG
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
UDG
1 - 1
CDT
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
UDG
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
UDG
2 - 2
SPT
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 1
ZAC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
MOR
15%
22%
62%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
DOR
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ALE
0 - 1
MOR
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |