Leones Negros vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SPT
2 - 0
UDG
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
UDG
0 - 1
DOR
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
TAM
0 - 0
UDG
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 1
TIA
64%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
TEM
3 - 2
UDG
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
ALE
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
CIM
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
UAT
2 - 0
MER
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
MER
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ZAC
1 - 2
MER
73%
18%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |