Leones Negros vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
SPT
1 - 1
UDG
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
UDG
2 - 1
MOR
16%
23%
62%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 1
UDG
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
UDG
3 - 0
CDT
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
UDG
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
CIM
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
UAT
1 - 0
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 1
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
SPT
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |