Leones Negros vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
CAF
1 - 0
UDG
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 3
UDG
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
UDG
1 - 3
CAÑ
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
UDG
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
UDG
0 - 1
CAF
40%
23%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
NEC
0 - 0
TOR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
UAT
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ZAC
0 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 1
CIM
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |