Leones Negros vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
UDG
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
UDG
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
UDG
1 - 2
CAF
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
UDG
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDG
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
DOR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 0
UAP
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 1
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |