Leones Negros vs CD Tapatío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
UDG
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 1
ALE
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
UAT
2 - 2
UDG
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
UDG
0 - 0
DOR
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
ZAC
2 - 1
UDG
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
TIA
2 - 0
CDT
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 0
TEM
21%
27%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 1
CDT
55%
27%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 3
MOR
18%
26%
56%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RYD
2 - 0
CDT
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |