Copa Chile . Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Univ de Chile vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
COL
3 - 2
UCH
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
UCH
2 - 3
PAL
43%
26%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCH
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCH
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
COQ
2 - 2
UCH
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 0
CSL
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CSL
1 - 1
HUA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CSL
2 - 1
EVE
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCH
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
COL
0 - 2
CSL
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |