Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2022 |
UCE
4 - 2
DEL
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
ULC
3 - 2
UCE
24%
25%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
EME
0 - 1
UCE
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
UCE
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
UCE
1 - 0
CFC
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 0
CUE
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
IVT
0 - 1
MUS
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 1
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
EME
4 - 0
MUS
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 0
RIV
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |