Universidad Católica vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LIG
2 - 1
UCE
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 0
LFC
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 3
MAN
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
LFC
2 - 1
UCE
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 0
OLM
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
12O
2 - 1
LIB
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 1
RPA
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
26%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |