Univ. Queensland vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
QUE
5 - 0
UNI
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
NPI
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 6
RED
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 0
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 9
CAP
8%
17%
75%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
TAR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 1
CAP
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 2
RED
33%
23%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 2
CAP
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |