Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 2
ANT
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 0
EVE
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ULC
1 - 3
UCO
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 1
HUA
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
OHI
0 - 1
UCO
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |