Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
ANT
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
4 - 2
SWA
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ULC
1 - 4
UCO
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 2
IQU
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
4 - 1
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
UCO
44%
24%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |