Clausura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 5-5
Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
5 - 3
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CON
1 - 3
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
COB
0 - 0
UCO
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
5 - 3
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 0
COQ
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CDM
3 - 2
UCO
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |