Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CDM
3 - 2
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
OHI
4 - 2
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 2
UNI
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 1
SWA
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
NUB
2 - 0
UCO
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 1
COB
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 3
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 0
ANT
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |