Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
SWA
1 - 3
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
HUA
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
DLS
1 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
ANT
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
EVE
1 - 2
UCO
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 2
UCH
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCO
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 2
SWA
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
COL
2 - 3
UCO
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 0
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |