Univ. Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 0
UCO
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SWA
0 - 1
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 1
SWA
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 0
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
USF
1 - 3
COB
21%
25%
53%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 1
USF
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
USF
1 - 1
CSL
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
UCH
3 - 0
USF
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
USF
2 - 0
DLS
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |