Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 1
CUR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
UCO
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CSL
3 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
IQU
65%
21%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
4 - 3
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
USF
1 - 0
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 3
CSD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 2
VEL
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |