Univ. Concepción vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
DLS
2 - 1
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
OVA
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
53%
23%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 1
UCO
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ULC
1 - 2
EVE
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
ULC
0 - 1
NTA
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 1
ULC
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
ULC
3 - 3
DLS
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
ULC
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |