Univ. Concepción vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COL
0 - 2
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SBO
0 - 3
SPC
19%
23%
59%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HUA
0 - 2
SPC
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
EME
3 - 0
SPC
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SPC
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |