Univ. Concepción vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
PAL
3 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
UCO
4 - 1
CDP
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
OHI
4 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
ANT
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |