Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
SWA
5 - 2
UCO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
0 - 0
ANT
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
CDM
4 - 3
UCO
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
PUE
1 - 0
PAL
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
ULC
2 - 3
PUE
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 0
EVE
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 2
PUE
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |