Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
10%
17%
72%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 0
LOT
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
NTA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 0
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 2
SWA
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCH
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
EVE
0 - 2
PAL
37%
28%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
PAL
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |