Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
MAG
3 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 2
ANT
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 2
DEP
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 0
NTA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
1 - 0
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
NUB
0 - 1
USF
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
DEP
0 - 0
NUB
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
CDM
1 - 0
NUB
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
NUB
2 - 1
CSD
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
DLI
3 - 2
NUB
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -2 |